Publication Date: 29 August, 2013
The growing economic and ecological damage associated with biological invasions, which will likely be exacerbated by climate change, necessitates improved projections of invasive spread. Generally, potential changes in species distribution are investigated using climate envelope models; however, the reliability of such models has been questioned and they are not suitable for use at local scales. The authors of this paper discuss the merits of simulating the effects of climate change on the distribution of Gunnera tinctoria, an invasive plant, using a high resolution, local scale and a mechanistic approach.
Fennell, Mark; Murphy, James E.; Gallagher, Tommy; Osborne, B (2013) Global Change Biology. Vol. 19 (4): 1262-1274