Linking Northern Ireland mortality to socio-demographic factors

Speaker: Colin O'Hare (Actuarial Science and Risk Management Program Director, QUB)

Time: 3:00PM
Date: Thu 14th April 2011

Location: Statistics Seminar Room- L550 Library building

I explore the hypothesis that modeling the spatial distribution of mortality rates may act as a good proxy to modeling mortality using socioeconomic factors that would otherwise explain what we observe. We base our analysis on Northern Ireland mortality data and we have access to socioeconomic risk factors including for example, age, income, employment, health, education and political polarisation. We demonstrate that socioeconomic factors are good at explaining mortality but that allowing for spatial structure does not improve the fitting quality of the model any further.

(This talk is part of the Statistics and Actuarial Science series.)