Research Seminars

Next seminar

Prof Louise Slater, University of Oxford

Flood nonstationarity: detecting, attributing and forecasting changes in hydroclimatic extremes

Date: 25th March, 2021

Time: 13:00-14:00

Where: Zoom -


Many flood estimates and models still rely on a stationary description of the historical flood record and of the physical landscape, when in reality, flood properties are changing rapidly and dynamically – through an altered frequency of meteorological extremes, shifts in societal practices (such as urbanization, de-/afforestation, and river management), and morphological changes in the landscape (such as channel conveyance). In this talk I will introduce our research on (1) detection of changes in flood properties; (2) attribution of different flood drivers (climate, land cover and landscape changes); and (3) forecasting and projection of changes in flooding (from sub-seasonal to multidecadal). This will include a range of statistical methods, ensemble-based detection and forecasting, and the new understandings that emerge from global data science approaches.

About the Presenter

Louise Slater is Associate Professor in the School of Geography and the Environment (University of Oxford), tutorial fellow of Hertford College, and academic lead of the Oxford Water Network. Her interests lie in understanding how flood risk is changing dynamically in space and time, by investigating the relative role of different nonstationary drivers. With her group, she develops a range of computational approaches to detect, attribute, and forecast/project how changes in climate, land cover, rivers and society affect water-related extremes over daily to multi-decadal timescales.


Geography Seminar Series 2020-2021




8th October, 2020

Ernst Hauber

German Aerospace Agency

22nd October, 2020

Dr John Connolly

Trinity College Dublin

5th November, 2020

Richard Geoghegan

Digital Solutions

19th November, 2020

Dr Patrick Bresnihan

Maynooth University

3rd December, 2020

Professor Iris Moeller

Trinity College Dublin

4th February, 2021

Dr David Featherstone

University of Glasgow

18th February, 2021

Professor Brendan Murtagh

Queens University, Belfast

4th March, 2021

Dr David Meredith

Teagasc, Ireland

25th March, 2021

Associate Professor Louise Slater

Oxford University, UK

15th April, 2021

Professor Jacky Croke

UCD, Ireland